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It is popular among the pundits to rip on defenses and anyone who champions choosing them early. Many of those who had Chicago and Baltimore last year won championships because of them and would argue differently. The loss of Adalius Thomas is huge. But, looking at the available talent left after 50 picks I need to put them here. This placement is a respect for the season they pulled off. Their schedule is too easy, so even losing a man that can close off an entire side of the offense like the Great Wall of China, can be overcome. As Pittsburgh has shown, a great system is not just one man but the pipeline, and, Baltimore's has been one of the best. Where should you draft a defense? Consider this: 2006 1st Def., 2nd overall, 163 points: 20,16,9,5,4,3,B,17,12,1,7,26,2,10,7,10,14 Really, if you knew ahead of time they might warrant the second overall pick in the draft. Look at the finish, awesome. 39 points more than Chicago, and they had an awesome season, 23% more points than second place! 33% better than third! QB Manning 16% better than #2, 21% better than #3. RB Tomlinson 38% better than #2, 44% better than #3. WR Harrison 8% better than #2, 19% better than #3. By the way Tomlinson is 57% higher and Manning is 39% higher than Harrison. Wide receivers have the most volatility in their top ten and top five each year among the best positions. Defenses that reach the top, due to the nature of their collective team unit, generally stay at the top with more consistency then any other position. Obviously Running backs need to go first. I believe Quarterbacks should be addressed second and wide receivers third. The above numbers prove this point. Plus: the top five quarterbacks score 25% more points than wide receivers. And: the #1 WR is 25% better than #5 and 31% better than #10. While the #1 QB is 31% better than #5 and 39% better than #10. More proofs that quarterbacks are more important than wide receivers. Not to mention that there is only one per team while receivers start three plus on most plays. Defenses #1 is 39% better then #5 and 45% better then #10. Wow! 39-45% better scoring in one position! Obviously defenses that are established winners are worth the risk. We're not talking about Green bay coming on strong with Hawk here. There are four excellent defenses that deserve to be drafted in high rounds and the rest can be picked up last or off the waiver wire. Make your own judgments but getting one of the top four early can exponentially increase your chances of winning. |
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